This shared by Emily Brothers, IW Labour’s prospective parliamentary candidate for Isle of Wight East. Ed
Responding to criticism of national polling, Labour’s Emily Brothers has warned against the dark arts of tactical voting.
Responding to the dismissal of national polls by Charity Garnett and Mobes O’Flynn from East Wight Primary reported in yesterday’s OnTheWight, Emily said,
“I offer voters across Isle of Wight East my dedication, local knowledge and significant national experience, bringing together island priorities with Labour’s five missions for change.
“The polling is consistent, it is very close between Labour and Conservatives with other parties well behind. Those calling for tactical voting such as East Wight Primary have no credible alternative evidence to demonstrate anyone other than Labour can secure change for Isle of Wight East. Instead, they rely on opinion from their mates from a self-selected group which is unrepresentative of our wider community.”
Academics, researchers and data analysts
Best for Britain is a group of academics, researchers and data analysts who bring their expertise to the debate. They set out the options for voters and have advised that the evidence points to Labour being the best placed progressive party to win in Isle of Wight East. They don’t campaign, just set out the facts.
MRP polling
Multi-Level Regression with Post Stratification (MRP) polling is the most sophisticated technique to estimate public opinion in small geographical areas using national surveys.
The latest MRP poll on 15/06/24 by Survation estimate: Labour 33.30%, Conservative 32.18%, Reform 19.73%, Green 12.72%, Others 1.34% and Liberal Democrats 0.73% vote shares.
Brothers: Please don’t gamble, make an active choice
Emily continued,
“Local people are savvy and more intelligent than they are being given credit for by East Wight Primary. They can assess this data and conclude the direction for progressive change is with Labour, actively support my plan for our Island’s renewal or vote for their preferred party.
“Tactical voting that goes against policy and the evidence base is an attempt to gamble with Islanders’ future, whereas making an active choice is democracy in action and because every vote counts.
“It is important that voters make a choice about the policy agenda of each party, whether they want a positive change with Labour, more failure with the Conservatives or no hope of influencing anything with a fringe party.
“As Labour’s representative I offer an ambitious programme driven by the belief in our Island’s potential. I seek the trust of local people for a plan based on stability, investment and reform.
“I would like residents to assess my offer for change alongside the proposals of other political parties, rather than be enticed by the Dark Arts of tactical voting which risks getting the answer progressives supposedly don’t want. Please don’t gamble, make an active choice.”
